Wait, what? Ireland need to LOSE their next EURO qualifier?

October 19, 2023
October 19, 2023

The penultimate round of EURO qualifiers has concluded, leaving the football world abuzz with anticipation for the finals set to take place in November. Amidst the closing stages of this dramatic qualification process, the Republic of Ireland finds itself in an intriguing and somewhat unusual position.

Currently, Ireland occupies the 4th position in Group B, having accumulated 6 points from 7 matches. To make matters more complex, Greece is ahead in the standings with 12 points, seemingly leaving Ireland out of the qualifying equation. However, UEFA has introduced new regulations that introduce a twist to the qualification scenario. These rules stipulate that 12 teams will vie for 3 play-off spots in March, determined by last year's Nations League standings.

Before delving into the specifics, let's clarify the four leagues within the Nations League structure: A, B, C, and D. According to UEFA's guidelines, if fewer than 4 teams from one league enter the play-offs, the first available slot goes to the highest-ranked group winner from League D. In this case, that spot is secured by Estonia.

Now, things get even more intriguing. The regulations also state that any remaining positions will be allocated to the best-ranked teams that have not yet qualified through the conventional process.

For Ireland to secure a play-off spot, they need to ensure that no more than 7 teams in the Nations League rankings remain unqualified automatically. Surprisingly, one of these teams is the Netherlands.

This sets up a curious situation where Ireland's best interest may lie in losing their upcoming EURO qualifying match against the Netherlands in November. If the Dutch automatically qualify ahead of Greece, and since Ireland holds a higher rank than Greece in the Nations League, they would secure a play-off spot.

Ireland currently holds the 26th rank in the Nations League standings. Their pathway to the playoffs hinges on losing to the Netherlands, as long as only 4 teams ranked above them in League B fail to secure automatic qualification.

This convoluted scenario not only tests UEFA's rulebook but also challenges the very integrity of the game. The Republic of Ireland's journey to the EURO finals is certainly a unique and perplexing one, closely followed by football enthusiasts worldwide.